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Monthly Archives: October 2019
tomzheng股票估值公式
原创。今天同步发布到了雪球上。 原股东财富增长率最终公式=(1+1/市盈率)*(1+利润增长率)/(1+利润增长率/市净率)-1 超越市盈率的股票估值公式 公式的完善 市净率高于1,那么就要考虑股价向市净率1回归的情况。用多年来摊销,比如20年,那么对于市净率很高的股票,公式就要减5%。 如果净利润不全部派发红利,那么就要按派发率修正公式。比如目前中信银行港股,市净率0.2,市盈率2,股息率10%,那么派发率20%,净资产收益率10%,如果光看市盈率,那么中信银行是50%年利率的债券,但是它不派息的话就只是10%年利率的债券。加上派息率10%,就是20%。再考虑向市净率1回归,上涨空间400%。 还没有考虑交税。
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